CASE Foundry; Mount Pleasant WI
Reindustrialization is the economic, social, and political process of organizing national resources for the purpose of re-establishing industries. The process proceeds as a result of a need to reinvigorate national economies.
Foxconn will simply fail because most of the cheap and easy to extract oil has already been exploited. It isn’t that there is no oil to power industrial civilization – it’s that the costs and EROEI (energy returned on Energy Invested) keeps increasing while returns fall. The World has been on the undulating plateau of Peak Oil since around 2008. Oil is NOT all the same in regards to quality, energy concentration, or what products can be made from it. The US exports LIGHT shale oil because US refineries aren’t set up to distill Light Oil – The US does not produce enough oil domestically to meet it’s demands – it IMPORTS heavy oil.
Porters of Racine TID 17
At what price does the demand for POL (gas, diesel, lubricants, etc) products fall? When the product can’t be sold for cost – the manufacturer eventually fails – or must be subsidized.
CGEP: Global Oil Market Forecasting: Main Approaches & Key Drivers with Steven Kopits
No affordable oil in large quantities = No gas/diesel/lubricants; therefore No cars/trucks or electricity.
Only by triggering the imagination can we begin to appreciate the statement: “we live in a civilization powered by oil“. If petroleum were to disappear from our lives we would no longer recognize the world in which we live; nor would we have the slightest notion of how to exist in it. For the continuance of modern society, petroleum is an essential commodity.
To satisfy our ever expanding need for petroleum and its products, a vast interwoven worldwide work force labors arduously to extract, process, and distribute it. They work around the clock to ensure our supply. Battling against the hand maiden of resource extraction, depletion, their labors grow ever more difficult as time progresses. Each year the world’s petroleum industry lifts, forces, and pumps four and one-half billion tons of water, and crude oil from almost a mile below the surface. Each year the the water portion grows larger, and the oil less. The depletion of petroleum is continuing – and it is on a relentless march toward its completion!
Depletion is the inevitable consequence of resource extraction. As petroleum depletes it reaches a point where its ability to power the economy begins to decline; as the economy declines our ability to produce petroleum, and its products declines. The objective of this study is to determine when that point will be reached, and how the decline event will evolve.
The future isn’t the Jetsons, it is the Stone Age; see also Venezuela.
Tension in Venezuela is on the rise again as the opposition and the government accuse each other of trying to stage a coup.
There has been a wave of anti-government protests and dozens of people have been killed in protest-related violence since April
Here, we look more in depth at the problems facing Venezuela and its president, Nicolas Maduro.
Venezuela is split into Chavistas, the name given to the followers of the socialist policies of the late President Hugo Chavez, and those who cannot wait to see an end to the 18 years in power of his United Socialist Party (PSUV).
After the socialist leader died in 2013, Nicolas Maduro, also of the PSUV, was elected president on a promise to continue Mr Chavez’s policies.
Chavistas praise the two men for using Venezuela’s oil riches to markedly reduce inequality and for lifting many Venezuelans out of poverty.
But the opposition says that since the PSUV came to power in 1999, the socialist party has eroded Venezuela’s democratic institutions and mismanaged its economy.
Chavistas in turn accuse the opposition of being elitist and of exploiting poor Venezuelans to increase their own riches.
They also allege that opposition leaders are in the pay of the United States, a country with which Venezuela has had fraught relations in recent years.
Like yeast in a bottle, humans on a finite Planet discovered a substance which allowed them to grow exponentially and stripmine the Earth, only to fill it with waste and pollution. When the State of WI experienced De-industrialization the Politicians and Government Employees fought to retain the status quo and BAU (Business as Usual). Now they need WORKERS to PRODUCE – so their Tax-Farming practices can be maintained and increase. The deficits from borrowing to fill the gap between revenues and expenses only increases. Their schemes to fill the gap between Revenues and Expenses only grows in disproportion to the real economy to actually fill those budgeted expenses.
It is interesting to note that City of Racine houses some of it’s Homeless at HALO – located in the Southside Industrial Park in a former Industrial building.
The Olduvai Theory:
Sliding Towards a Post-Industrial Stone Age
Richard C. Duncan, Ph.D.
Institute on Energy and Man,
June 27, 1996
My Odyssey with the Olduvai theory began thirty-two years ago during a lecture series titled, Of Men and Galaxies, given at the University of Washington by cosmologist Sir Fred Hoyle.
It has often been said that, if the human species fails to make a go of it here on Earth, some other species will take over the running. In the sense of developing high intelligence this is not correct. We have, or soon will have, exhausted the necessary physical prerequisites so far as this planet is concerned. With coal gone, oil gone, high-grade metallic ores gone, no species however competent can make the long climb from primitive conditions to high-level technology. This is a one-shot affair. If we fail, this planetary system fails so far as intelligence is concerned. The same will be true of other planetary systems. On each of them there will be one chance, and one chance only. (Hoyle, 1964; emphasis added)
Industrial Civilization doesn’t evolve. Rather, it rapidly consumes “the necessary physical prerequisites” for its own existence. It’s short-term, unsustainable. “This is a one shot affair…. there will be one chance, and one chance only.”
Energy-use per person is used as a measurable index of industrialization. In 1989, I proposed the Olduvai theory of Industrial Civilization, as illustrated in Figure 1.
- Industrial Civilization can be described by a single pulse waveform of duration X, as measured by average energy-use per person per year.
- The life-expectancy of Industrial Civilization is less than one-hundred (100) years: i.e., X < 100 years.
In 1989 I postulated that per capita energy-use had peaked and was already on the decline. But back then I lacked sufficient data to test the theory.
By 1996, however, I had successfully tested the Olduvai theory against numerous sets of data. Four of these tests are graphed in Figure 2. The following facts emerge.
- On the average, world per capita energy-use reached a maximum value (i.e., a peak) in 1977.
- The 1977-1995 rate of decline has averaged 0.90% per year.
- Per capita energy-use will continue to decline as long as the world population growth rate exceeds the energy growth rate.
- If the decline continues (and extinction is avoided), human societies will bottom out at the subsistence level of energy-use.
The Olduvai theory explains the Figure 2 data, but the exponential-growth theory (of mainstream economics) and the steady-state theory both fail.
The Olduvai theory cannot be overthrown (i.e., scientifically rejected) by outrage or indignation. However, it can be overthrown by either, (1) demonstrating that the four sets of data in Figure 2 are in error, or (2) by gathering additional data over the next few decades and demonstrating that the Olduvai theory cannot explain that data. In any case, the data will be the final arbiter.
Read the entire paper: http://dieoff.org/page125.htm
Why Globalization will FAIL:
Since the late 1990s, globalization has seemed to be the great hope for the future. Now this great hope seems to be dimming. Globalization sets up conflict in the area of jobs. Countries around the world compete for development and jobs. If there is not enough cheap-to-produce energy to go around, huge wage disparity is likely to result.
We know from physics and history that economies need to grow, or they collapse. The wage disparity that high-wage countries have been experiencing in recent years is evidence that the world economy is already reaching energy limits. There are no longer enough jobs that pay well to go around. Any drop in energy supply is likely to worsen the job situation.
Most observers miss this problem, because they expect high oil prices to signal energy limits. This time, the signal is low wages for a significant group of workers, rather than high oil prices. This situation is possible in a networked economy, but it is not what most people look for.
Unhappy citizens can be expected to react to the wage disparity problem by electing leaders who favor limits to globalization. This can only play out in terms of reduced globalization.
History and physics suggest that economies without adequate energy supply can be expected to collapse. We have several recent examples of partial collapses, including the Great Depression of the 1930s and the collapse of the Soviet Union. Such collapses, or even more extensive collapses, might occur again if we cannot find energy alternatives that can be quickly scaled up to replace oil and coal in the very near term. These replacements need to be cheap-to-produce, non-polluting, and available in huge quantities.
The story that the economy doesn’t really need a growing supply of very cheap-to-produce energy is simply a myth. Let’s look at some of the pieces of this story.
The Universe is infinite and eternal and swarms with life. The Ancients knew this – and we have forgotten it. There will still be life on Earth after Industrial Civilization collapses.
Please join Cindy and I is JUST SAYING NO to allowingcGovernor Scott Walker, Racine County Executive Jonathan Delagrave, City of Racine Mayor Cory Mason & MTP President David DeGroot to violate the Wisconsin Constitution (and their Oath of Office) by granting special rights to Corporate interests, stealing people’s property, destroying multi-generational Farms alongside an entire long established Community, loosening environmental protections, permitting heavy metals water pollution, instituting slave labor wages, providing taxpayer subsidies to multi-billionaire Corporations, and politician overreach.